Journal of Strategic Management and Future Studies

Journal of Strategic Management and Future Studies

Analysis of Iran's Digital Economy with a Futures Studies: Approach based on Steep (V) Trend Analysis Model and Scenario Design

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Associate Professor, Department of Entrepreneurship, Faculty of Entrepreneurship, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
2 Ph.D Student in Technological Entrepreneurship, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
Today, the digitalization of the economy to improve productivity and increase economic growth has been considered one of the dominant approaches in most countries of the world. Given the traditional structures governing production and trade in Iran and the declining competitiveness of its economy, which is associated with low productivity growth, low economic growth, and high unemployment, the development of the digital economy to solve part of the country's problems is a necessity rather than a choice. The purpose of this study is to identify the events, consequences, threats, and opportunities facing the digital economy in Iran based on current internal and environmental trends. This research has been done with exploratory nature and expands existing knowledge and cognition, correcting the way of proposing issues and ideas related to Iran's digital economy. Also, this research based on data search is qualitative. The method used is a combination of Scenario and Steep (v). This study explores four scenarios: the titles of angels of wealth, modernity at another time, backwardness, and rationality in limitations. Identifying indicators will make planners and policymakers aware of which scenario we are moving towards, and if we want to move towards the desired scenario, which indicators should we turn into the desired indicator
Keywords